(Taken from Detective Kutty's case diaries. Advani had resigned from
BJP posts once it became clear Narendra Modi could become the PM
candidate. Kutty cracked the mystery on June 12, 2013. The case is still
relevant in view of Advani's rebellion over Lok Sabha ticket)
Why did Shri Lal Krishna Advani resign?
It's a perfect mystery. A challenge worthy of Jasoos Narayanan Kutty.
Nobody has hired me to find out why. It is quite possible certain vested interests may have paid off certain other vested interests to not hire me. Some mysteries are better left unsolved. But these things don't deter me. I often take up pro bono cases, for public good and for the thrill they give me. Especially, when the work doesn't involve much leg work, but only analysis of evidence at hand.
I start with a puja of all the prime ministers India has had, and all the prime ministers India narrowly missed. To understand what is going on in the mind of a potential prime minister, one needs to know what went through the minds of those who fulfilled that potential. Like Charan Singh, Deve Gowda, IK Gujral.
I have studied the evidence in the case: a letter written by the Subject to BJP president Rajnath Singh. But it gives no clues as the letter was type-written, and gives away nothing, no hint of emotion. The content itself must have been arrived at after long hours of drafting, so no point studying that either. Any way a politician rarely means what he says or writes.
In school, you must have done many problems in mathematics. For example, if a Maruti Wagon R, weighing 1000 kg, carrying 100 kg of potatoes, 100 kg of tomatoes, 100 grams of Amul butter, 100 grams of Mother Dairy butter, on a full tank, is running at a speed 150 km per hour, then how much distance will it cover in 2 hours? Here the Maruti, the potatoes and the butter are a red herring, totally irrelevant to the problem and the solution. Yes, the tomatoes are irrelevant too. Advani's letter to Rajnath Singh is just that - a diversion. A sharp detective like me will not fall for it.
But yet a letter has been written, we cannot discount that either.
Now this is a unique case. A bit like a maths puzzle. Here Advani, Narendra Modi, the RSS and the Congress are the constants; Rajnath, Gadkari, Nitish Kumar, Jayalalithaa, Mamata Banerjee, Sharad Pawar, Uddhav Thackeray, Raj Thackeray, etc are the variables. A bit like x +y -z +p-q+r - (a+b+c) => 270 = PM. I make some hurried calculations: replace Jayalalithaa with Karunanidhi, keep Mamata Banerjee a constant, replace Chandrababu Naidu with Jagan Reddy... soon I found the English alphabet doesn't have enough letters to represent the variables in Indian politics. I keep on digging and work out many scenarios. Some in favour of Modi, some that give hope to Advani. Still they don't adequately explain the letter, because these scenarios come into play only after the elections.
Now I throw in a little bit of psychology and realpolitik into the puzzle. Here are the results.
Probability No 1
No retirement benefits. Politics is an unorganised sector. Those who get into the Lok Sabha, Rajya Sabha, Assembly get lifetime train travel, pension, so on. Others get nothing. You might argue Advani gets all these since he has been a Union minister and an MP several times. But you forget one thing. He is much more than that. He is a potential PM. And there are no retirement benefits for potential PMs. I am sure he might have asked Ramakrishna Hegde about that.
Probability No 2
Advani thinks he still has a shot at PM's job. Why not? Yesterday the slogan for non-Congress parties was 'Keep the BJP out at any cost.' Tomorrow the slogan could become 'Keep Narendra Modi out at any cost.'
Probability No 3
Why are the cadres worshipping Modi all of a sudden? Did they forget it was Advani who took the BJP score from 2 to 182? Modi is after all Advani's protégé, his chela. Anything the chela does, the guru can do better. By the way, what did Modi do? Oh, I forgot he brought development to Gujarat.
Probability No 4
People seem to have forgotten the Iron Man. Long before Tony Stark wore the armoured suit, Advani lorded over the BJP with an iron fist. And he didn't need an iron suit for that, just khadi did the work. Some ignorant people still have doubts about Advani's credentials as Iron Man, they raise questions about Kandahar. Advani wants one more chance to disprove them.
Probability No 5
Advani enjoyed the yatras. Ram Rath Yatra, Janadesh Yatra, Swarna Jayanti Yatra, Bharat Uday Yatra, Bharat Suraksha Yatra, Jan Chetna Yatra. But the RSS has taken the fizz out Advani's yatras. It has allowed him to go on these yatras provided he doesn't make claims of being in PM race. Isn't that very unfair to do to a seasoned yatri?
Too much work and too much analysis call for a shot of rum and cola.
See, the mix worked.
The RSS still has a chance of salvaging the situation. They can avoid a repeat of Advani's resignation. All they have to do is admit Mohammed Ali Jinnah is secular.
Follow me on twitter @jasooskutty
Why did Shri Lal Krishna Advani resign?
It's a perfect mystery. A challenge worthy of Jasoos Narayanan Kutty.
Nobody has hired me to find out why. It is quite possible certain vested interests may have paid off certain other vested interests to not hire me. Some mysteries are better left unsolved. But these things don't deter me. I often take up pro bono cases, for public good and for the thrill they give me. Especially, when the work doesn't involve much leg work, but only analysis of evidence at hand.
I start with a puja of all the prime ministers India has had, and all the prime ministers India narrowly missed. To understand what is going on in the mind of a potential prime minister, one needs to know what went through the minds of those who fulfilled that potential. Like Charan Singh, Deve Gowda, IK Gujral.
I have studied the evidence in the case: a letter written by the Subject to BJP president Rajnath Singh. But it gives no clues as the letter was type-written, and gives away nothing, no hint of emotion. The content itself must have been arrived at after long hours of drafting, so no point studying that either. Any way a politician rarely means what he says or writes.
In school, you must have done many problems in mathematics. For example, if a Maruti Wagon R, weighing 1000 kg, carrying 100 kg of potatoes, 100 kg of tomatoes, 100 grams of Amul butter, 100 grams of Mother Dairy butter, on a full tank, is running at a speed 150 km per hour, then how much distance will it cover in 2 hours? Here the Maruti, the potatoes and the butter are a red herring, totally irrelevant to the problem and the solution. Yes, the tomatoes are irrelevant too. Advani's letter to Rajnath Singh is just that - a diversion. A sharp detective like me will not fall for it.
But yet a letter has been written, we cannot discount that either.
Now this is a unique case. A bit like a maths puzzle. Here Advani, Narendra Modi, the RSS and the Congress are the constants; Rajnath, Gadkari, Nitish Kumar, Jayalalithaa, Mamata Banerjee, Sharad Pawar, Uddhav Thackeray, Raj Thackeray, etc are the variables. A bit like x +y -z +p-q+r - (a+b+c) => 270 = PM. I make some hurried calculations: replace Jayalalithaa with Karunanidhi, keep Mamata Banerjee a constant, replace Chandrababu Naidu with Jagan Reddy... soon I found the English alphabet doesn't have enough letters to represent the variables in Indian politics. I keep on digging and work out many scenarios. Some in favour of Modi, some that give hope to Advani. Still they don't adequately explain the letter, because these scenarios come into play only after the elections.
Now I throw in a little bit of psychology and realpolitik into the puzzle. Here are the results.
Probability No 1
No retirement benefits. Politics is an unorganised sector. Those who get into the Lok Sabha, Rajya Sabha, Assembly get lifetime train travel, pension, so on. Others get nothing. You might argue Advani gets all these since he has been a Union minister and an MP several times. But you forget one thing. He is much more than that. He is a potential PM. And there are no retirement benefits for potential PMs. I am sure he might have asked Ramakrishna Hegde about that.
Probability No 2
Advani thinks he still has a shot at PM's job. Why not? Yesterday the slogan for non-Congress parties was 'Keep the BJP out at any cost.' Tomorrow the slogan could become 'Keep Narendra Modi out at any cost.'
Probability No 3
Why are the cadres worshipping Modi all of a sudden? Did they forget it was Advani who took the BJP score from 2 to 182? Modi is after all Advani's protégé, his chela. Anything the chela does, the guru can do better. By the way, what did Modi do? Oh, I forgot he brought development to Gujarat.
Probability No 4
People seem to have forgotten the Iron Man. Long before Tony Stark wore the armoured suit, Advani lorded over the BJP with an iron fist. And he didn't need an iron suit for that, just khadi did the work. Some ignorant people still have doubts about Advani's credentials as Iron Man, they raise questions about Kandahar. Advani wants one more chance to disprove them.
Probability No 5
Advani enjoyed the yatras. Ram Rath Yatra, Janadesh Yatra, Swarna Jayanti Yatra, Bharat Uday Yatra, Bharat Suraksha Yatra, Jan Chetna Yatra. But the RSS has taken the fizz out Advani's yatras. It has allowed him to go on these yatras provided he doesn't make claims of being in PM race. Isn't that very unfair to do to a seasoned yatri?
Too much work and too much analysis call for a shot of rum and cola.
See, the mix worked.
The RSS still has a chance of salvaging the situation. They can avoid a repeat of Advani's resignation. All they have to do is admit Mohammed Ali Jinnah is secular.
Follow me on twitter @jasooskutty
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